I do not believe that I have ever written a finance article advocating the purchase of gaming stocks like Activision or Electronic Arts. It’s not that video games aren’t profitable—far from it, intellectual property that costs a few bucks to manufacture per disk and can be sold for $50 is a great way to make money while putting down a small amount of initial capital.
Instead, the challenge is sustainability. When Nestle sells a cookie, I can make intelligent guesses about how many cookies are going to be sold several years into the future. For the past century, the world consumes about 4.5% more cookies each year, and the Nestle Tollhouse usually sells 4% more cookies than the year previous. If someone is in the habit of buying 6-8 cookie rolls per year, that behavior is likely going to continue indefinitely. Through technological advances, boom and bust cycles, and the … Read the rest of this article!
Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on an overwhelming amount of cash. It overshadows just about every other company I study in terms of raw, untapped earnings power. As of last quarter, Warren Buffett had $62 billion in cash sitting on Berkshire’s balance sheet. The market capitalization of the stock is $360 billion, meaning 17.2% of your purchase price is sitting in cash alone. If you buy a share of Berkshire for $145, your look-through portion of cash is $24.94 per share. The only other companies in similar situations are tech giants like Microsoft and Apple where the long-term business model is subject to rapid changes in technology in a way that Berkshire Hathaway is not.
Absent a hurricane or natural disaster in the near-term that cause Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries to make large payouts, Berkshire should generate $20 billion in cash per year based on the company’s current earnings power (it is … Read the rest of this article!