One of the weird quirks that is necessarily associated with being a successful value investor is that attractive entry points are nearly always caused by the aftermath of a stock reporting some business conditions or adverse event that render it unfashionable. In other words, the “value” you find is almost always a direct result of concluding that the rest of the investor community is over-weighing the effects some business impairment will have on the firm’s long-term earnings and valuation.
During the past few years, Wal-Mart ran into the gravitational pull of large numbers as it struggled to grow its revenues that hover near the half a trillion mark (the high water point was $485 trillion in 2014).
The prospect of low earnings growth pushed the price of Wal-Mart’s stock down low into the $50s in 2014 and 2015. Meanwhile, earnings were about $4.50. This meant that, for most of 2015, … Read the rest of this article!